11
Talentuoso
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 9
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMC · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 87% | +0.10 |
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 87% | +0.24 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 79% | +0.26 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |
| 24/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |