11

Galord
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · Draw 11
ParisLongchamp · Quatar Prix du Festival des Nations Handicap · 6f 211y
#15
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.26 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 13/11/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 02/12/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 24/05/2026 | 15th | 8/1 | 58% | 7% | -0.51 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 20/08/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |