6
Piemont
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3
ParisLongchamp · Quatar Prix du Festival des Nations Handicap · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-08-25 | Moulins | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2025-03-13 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 04/01/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 31/01/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/03/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 64% | -0.23 |