8

Yoken
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 15
ParisLongchamp · Quatar Prix du Festival des Nations Handicap · 6f 211y
#13
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 23/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 03/12/2025 | 13th | 13/2 | 66% | 8% | -0.58 |
| 18/12/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 19/02/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 24/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |