7
Zakosha
4yo Filly · 9-3 · Draw 12
ParisLongchamp · Quatar Prix du Festival des Nations Handicap · 6f 211y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 3 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 3-15 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/05/2026 | 16th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |