5
Dioptase
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chantilly | 1 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Meydan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 12-18 · tight 74/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 31/05/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |