16
Mononof
6yo Gelding · 8-0 · Draw 14
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-03-17 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 1-16 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 29/06/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |