Orandi
8yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#14
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 16.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | BHA95 | 1st | 11th | −9 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA89 | 11th | 21th | −8 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA89 | 1st | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA90 | 8th | 18th | −8 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA93 | 7th | 17th | −8 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 21th | 22th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 02/11/2025 | 21st | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 15/03/2026 | 15th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 28/03/2026 | 21st | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 02/08/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 23% | -0.24 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |