13
Pacifiste
4yo Colt · 8-2 · Draw 7
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#18
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 1 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-09-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 14th | −4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-06-08 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2025-03-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 10-18 · tight 66/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength0%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 11/03/2025 | 6th | 5/6 | 96% | 17% | -0.79 |
| 08/06/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 30/06/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 04/09/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 78% | -0.18 |
| 23/08/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |