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9

Silent Warning

3yo Colt · 8-9 · Draw 10

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Handicap · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12329/03C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12823/05C53 @ Chateaubriant 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 13021/073C5 @ Deauville 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12518/08C5projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Deauville?2nd6th−4
2026-07-21Chateaubriant31st3rd−2
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st5th−4
2026-03-29Lyon-Parilly?4th8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0323/0521/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20264th11/486%63%-0.23
23/05/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
21/07/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
18/08/20262nd4/696%86%-0.11