11
Vanta
3yo Filly · 8-5 · Draw 1
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Place de l'Etoile Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 1 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 8-18 · tight 60/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 24/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |