8

Aix La Chapelle
2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1) · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 10th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -52.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |