2
Big Money Man
2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 6
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1) · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Deauville | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength3%
Delivery trend +9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 11% | -0.65 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |