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3

Imperial Strike

2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 7

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1) · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12812/07C52 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Sft 1254/082C1 @ ParisLongchamp 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1256/09C1projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06ParisLongchamp?2nd3rd−0
2026-08-04Deauville21st3rd−2
2026-07-12Deauville?1st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/074/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
04/08/20261st2/1199%100%+0.01
06/09/20262nd6/168%75%+0.07