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9

Man's Best Friend

2yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 5 · OR 106

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere (Group 1) · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲4
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 13326/06C8C8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13322/07C81 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 12830/0711 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 109 · 5f212y Sft 125 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 109 par23/081OR 109projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Deauville14th4th0
2026-07-30Goodwood11st1st−0
2026-07-22Naas?1st10th−8
2026-06-26Curragh?4th13th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0622/0730/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -26.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20264th18/15%73%+0.67
22/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
30/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
23/08/20264th9/276%50%-0.26