5
Jawwal
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · Draw 11
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1) · 4f 213y
#15
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 7th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 4-15 · tight 47/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/10/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 07/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |