10
Argentine Tango
3yo Filly · 9-7
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1) · 0m 5f 0y
#9
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 14th | 14th | −0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 1 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Haydock | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 31/07/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |