12
Time For Sandals
4yo Filly · 9-7
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines (Group 1) · 0m 5f 0y
#14
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Goodwood | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | York | 1 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 06/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 69% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 42% | -0.37 |
| 16/06/2026 | 19th | 16/1 | 16% | 28% | +0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 13/09/2026 | 11th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |