13
Chdia
5yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 5
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-13 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -84.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2024 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |