11
Geneva
5yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Toulouse | 1 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 04/10/2024 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 20/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |