IvyArcIvyArc
10

Hajmah

5yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 7

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Cloud 04/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1284/10C?C1 @ Toulouse 31/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1281 @ Toulouse 21/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12421/051C0 @ Chantilly 15/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 123C1 @ La Teste De Buch 20/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12820/08C1C0 @ ParisLongchamp 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1281 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13219/041C0 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 127C0 @ RMG Extras 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m Goo 12229/07C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29RMG Extras?4th4th0
2026-05-10ParisLongchamp?6th6th0
2026-04-19Toulouse12nd2nd−0
2025-10-04ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2025-08-20La Teste De Buch?1st2nd−0
2025-06-15Chantilly?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1015/0619/0429/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 8-13 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%

Delivery trend -9.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/202411th18/15%33%+0.28
31/10/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
21/05/20252nd9/153%83%+0.31
15/06/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
20/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
04/10/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
19/04/20262nd5/696%75%-0.21
10/05/20266th15/890%29%-0.62
29/07/20264th9/276%57%-0.19