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3

Hm Alchahine

6yo Horse · 9-2 · Draw 10

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 04/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1274/08C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1286/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2026-08-04Deauville?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength85%

Delivery trend -8.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
06/09/20261st3/1098%100%+0.02