8
Molfit
6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 13
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-31 | Toulouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-06-16 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-10-04 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2023-08-27 | Tarbes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 9-13 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2023 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 27/08/2023 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 04/10/2023 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 16/06/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 31/10/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 27/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |