4
Rb Kingmaker
7yo Horse · 9-2 · Draw 6
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | RMG Extras | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-05-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2024 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 11/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 05/10/2025 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 18% | -0.42 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |