5
Rumz
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 11
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 12.6 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Abu Dhabi | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-07-28 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 17th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 11-11 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength21%
Delivery trend +24.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2024 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |
| 12/04/2025 | 8th | / | 50% | 46% | -0.04 |