2
Tabarus
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 4
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Arabian World Cup (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Toulouse | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Dax | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-06-22 | Toulouse | ? | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 11th | 16th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +13.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |