6
Arrow Eagle
5yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 14
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) · 1m 3f 204y
#12
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 15-16 · tight 88/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |