1
Daryz
4yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 5 · OR 127
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |