16
Diamond Necklace
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 16 · OR 120
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 1.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Leopardstown | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 76/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength10%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/9 | 99% | 89% | -0.10 |