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8

Minnie Hauk

4yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 10 · OR 121

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1) · 1m 3f 204y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 19/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 117 · 1m4f Goo 128 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 117 par19/071OR 1171 @ York 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 117 · 1m3f188y Goo 126 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 117 parC0 @ ParisLongchamp 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 118 · 1m3f204y Ver 121 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 118 par5/10C?OR 118C0 @ Del Mar 01/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 123 · 1m4f Fm 119 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 123 par1 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 123 · 1m2f Gd 128 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 123 par4/051OR 1231 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 123 · 1m2f110y Gd 128 · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 123 par1 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 123 · 1m1f212y GF 125 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 123 par17/061OR 1231 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 123 · 1m3f211y GF 132 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 123 par1 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 121 · 1m3f188y GS 135 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 121 par20/081OR 121projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20York13rd3rd0
2026-07-25Ascot18th8th0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot12nd2nd0
2026-05-24Curragh15th5th0
2026-05-04Curragh11st1st−0
2025-11-01Del Mar?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/071/1117/0620/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 12-16 · tight 78/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20251st2/1199%100%+0.01
21/08/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
05/10/20252nd9/488%94%+0.06
01/11/20256th11/893%62%-0.31
04/05/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
24/05/20265th4/696%33%-0.63
17/06/20262nd15/261%86%+0.25
25/07/20268th17/255%13%-0.43
20/08/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04