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Aventure

5yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 116

ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Opera Longines (Fillies' and Mares' Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

95%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ ParisLongchamp 27/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 116 · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · beat its mark27/04/2025 · OR 116 par27/04C1OR 116C0 @ Saint-Cloud 19/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 116 · 1m2f96y Gd 125 · beat its mark19/05/2025 · OR 116 parC0 @ Saint-Cloud 29/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 116 · 1m3f204y GS 124 · beat its mark29/06/2025 · OR 116 par29/06C?OR 116C0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 116 · 1m3f204y Sft 130 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 116 parC0 @ ParisLongchamp 05/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 116 · 1m3f204y Ver 128 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 116 par5/10C?OR 1161 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 116 · 1m2f96y GS 124 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 116 par1 @ ParisLongchamp 24/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 116 · 1m2f96y Sft 125 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 116 par24/051OR 116C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 116 · 1m3f204y GS 124 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 116 par1 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 116 · 1m1f207y Sft 130 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 116 par23/081OR 116projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Deauville11st1st0
2026-07-05Saint-Cloud?4th4th0
2026-05-24ParisLongchamp11st1st−0
2026-04-26ParisLongchamp13rd3rd0
2025-10-05ParisLongchamp?11th11th0
2025-09-07ParisLongchamp?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/047/0924/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 80/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20251st4/797%100%+0.03
19/05/20251st1/398%100%+0.02
29/06/20252nd11/486%75%-0.11
07/09/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
05/10/202511th15/261%38%-0.23
26/04/20263rd4/179%50%-0.29
24/05/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
05/07/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
23/08/20261st15/261%100%+0.39