Jennifer Jane

3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 108

ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Opera Longines (Fillies' and Mares' Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▲1

Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C1.2

Today: 1

Class gap: -1.0

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-13	Curragh	1	5th	5th	−0	4.8
2026-07-19	Chantilly	1	1st	2nd	−0	8.5
2026-05-03	Newmarket	1	1st	2nd	−1	8.3
2025-08-24	Goodwood	1	7th	8th	−0	2.5
2025-07-24	Sandown	1	2nd	3rd	−1	7.3
2025-06-19	Wetherby	4	1st	6th	−4	4.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 51/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength28%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
21/05/2025	7th	16/1	16%	40%	+0.24
19/06/2025	1st	5/2	87%	100%	+0.13
24/07/2025	2nd	8/1	58%	86%	+0.28
24/08/2025	7th	17/2	55%	0%	-0.55
03/05/2026	1st	11/2	71%	100%	+0.29
19/07/2026	1st	15/8	90%	100%	+0.10
13/09/2026	5th	20/1	0%	56%	+0.56