9
Miss Scott
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 109
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Opera Longines (Fillies' and Mares' Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 1.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 1 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-09-22 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 69/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |