8
Precise
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 115
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Opera Longines (Fillies' and Mares' Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Deauville | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 9/5 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |