Timeforshowcasing
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 113
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Opera Longines (Fillies' and Mares' Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Newcastle | 1 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Goodwood | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 11/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |