5

Venetian Lace
3yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 110
ParisLongchamp · Prix de l'Opera Longines (Fillies' and Mares' Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Newmarket | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 11/09/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |