3
Puerto Rico
3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 8 · OR 113
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1) · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength22%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 29/07/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |