2
Samangan
3yo Colt · 8-13 · Draw 7
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1) · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 2/11 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 1/2 | 97% | 50% | -0.47 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 76% | +0.71 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |