7
Showna
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1) · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 1 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 09/01/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |