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8

True Love

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 113

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix de la Foret (Group 1) · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 115 · 6f GF 128 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 115 par27/091OR 115C0 @ Del Mar 31/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 115 · 5f Fm 119 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 115 par1 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 115 · 7f42y Yie 131 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 115 par12/041OR 1151 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 115 · 1m GF 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Curragh 24/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 116 · 1m Gd 128 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 116 par24/051OR 1161 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 115 · 7f213y GF 128 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 115 par1 @ Deauville 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 114 · 6f211y Gd 124 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 114 par12/071OR 114C0 @ Deauville 09/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 113 · 6f101y GS 122 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 113 · 1m Gd 128 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 113 par12/091OR 113projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Leopardstown16th6th0
2026-08-09Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-12Deauville12nd2nd0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot13rd3rd0
2026-05-24Curragh12nd2nd0
2026-05-03Newmarket11st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/093/0512/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-7 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
31/10/20258th3/184%36%-0.48
12/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
03/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
24/05/20262nd4/696%90%-0.06
19/06/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
12/07/20262nd13/891%86%-0.06
09/08/20265th2/189%60%-0.29
12/09/20266th15/261%38%-0.23