5
Delightful Laura
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 99
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-03-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength94%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 21/02/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 17/03/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |