Hannah Buckle
5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 7 · OR 104
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2026-01-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2025-11-08 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |