3
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4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 99
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 09/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |