8

Miss Meagher
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 101
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength31%
Delivery trend +7.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |