5
Centrodelantero
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 102
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-4 · tight 83/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |