Prince Dolce
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 104
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |