Shamrock Glitter
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 107
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Del Mar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-09-16 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 06/06/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/07/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 04/08/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 16/09/2024 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 12/10/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 15/06/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |