1
Sir Rocket
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 103
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Del Mar | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 78% | -0.10 |
| 30/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |