4

Good Golly Dolly

3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 78

Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

70%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 12/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12212/12C9C6 @ Santa Anita 17/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 71 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/01/2026 · OR 71 parC6 @ Santa Anita 14/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 78 · 6f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 78 par14/02C6OR 78C9 @ Santa Anita 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 78 parC6 @ Santa Anita 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 81 par24/04C6OR 81C5 @ Santa Anita 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Del Mar 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 79 · 1m 120 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 79 par6/08C8OR 79C8 @ Del Mar 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 78 par3/09C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Del Mar?2nd2nd0
2026-08-06Del Mar?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Santa Anita?6th2nd+3
2026-04-24Santa Anita?6th4th+2
2026-03-13Santa Anita?1st2nd−1
2026-02-14Santa Anita?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1213/036/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 80/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20254th10/382%57%-0.25
17/01/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
14/02/20268th25/10%22%+0.22
13/03/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
24/04/20266th25/10%0%0.00
23/05/20266th33/10%0%0.00
06/08/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
03/09/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22