3
Springline
3yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 89
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 70/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |